While the results of the provincial elections in 4 states of Delhi, Chattisgarh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh are still coming in, the trend that is clearly evident is that congress is getting routed everywhere. Narendra Modi’s message of “congress mukt” Bharat is getting realized.
BJP has got more than 2/3rd majority in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh. Way beyond anyone’s predictions. There were voices both within and outside BJP that Modi’s elevation as BJP’s prime ministerial candidate will hurt party’s prospects in assembly elections. Political pundits, media and political parties were unanimous is stating how this would tun into a referendum on Modi. It’s funny how the same people are now denying a Modi effect despite a spectacular performance by BJP. Earlier in the day Vasundhara Raje the incoming chief minister in Rajasthan clearly stated Modi was a big factor in BJP’s win. Modi did massively successful rallies across all 4 states and by initial reports his success rate is more than 85% meaning most of his rallies helped translate attendances into votes and win those seats. Key takeaways are that congress has been reduced to the lowest ever tally in Rajasthan. In Madhya Pradesh BJP increased its number of seats despite two consecutive terms of BJP. Clearly no anti incumbency in MP.
Delhi and Chattisgarh are close fights but BJP is still doing better than BJP’s own calculations. According to earlier reports from inside sources party had anticipated a very very close fight in Chattisgarh. Given Maoist violence, killings of congress leaders, anti incumbency against sitting MLAs, chances of a win were slim but the party is leading at 48 seats which is clearly ahead of majority. Delhi was always going to be a close three way fight with expectations of a BJP tally between 32-35. AAP has been a surprise winner at congress’s expense, however BJP is the largest party at 32 seats. Important to note that Modi did rallies in Delhi only in constituencies where BJP was weak and had not won in long time. If BJP manages to break congress or AAP candidates, they could very well form the government in Delhi making it a 4-0 win.
Given more than expected results BJP must be happy and Modi’s image gets a massive boost. It’d be interesting to see if BJP in general and Modi in particular get more aggressive in their 2014 election campaigns. For now its celebration time for Modi fans.